Friday, September 5, 2008

Hanna Strengthening, Headed Toward Coast

Dry air still surrounds Hanna, but its center of circulation has enveloped itself around healthy convection overnight. With moderate wind shear and warm SSTs, expect Hanna to be strengthening is it makes landfall near Wilmington, NC tomorrow. I note the latest recon data shows a minimum pressure of 980 mb, which is down 5 mb from earlier this morning. I believe the NHC will likely updgrade Hanna to a hurricane at some point today. If you live anywhere east of the center, you can expect Hanna to be stronger than expected when it moves onshore. The reason is that deepening systems more efficiently mix stronger winds down to the surface. I'm thinking Hanna will still make landfall as a Category 1 hurricane with winds of 80-85 mph tomorrow.

Big update on Ike to come later today. Most models have shifted west and now indicate a threat to Florida or even the Gulf of Mexico.

1 comment:

Ryan Aylward said...

I got the hurricane hunter map off google earth. If you have google earth, go to this address:

http://tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

And then click on the google earth recon upload on the bottom right. Download it, save it, and then in google earth go to open...open the file you just saved, and recon data will show in your 'places' section in google earth. Hope that helps.