Mostly Cloudy, Warm, & Breezy

It's a mild start to the morning as clouds, strong south winds, and moisture advection kept the temperature around 57 for several hours. Showers are lingering across Arkansas in association with a washed out cold front. These showers should stay to our north and west today, and a cap should keep any other showers at bay this afternoon. Simply put, I'm not real keen on any rain chances for the daytime hours. Skies will be mostly cloudy today but the low clouds may break up some this afternoon as mixing occurs. Speaking of mixing, strong southerly winds will dominate again today and wind gusts could exceed 25 mph this afternoon. I think this will be our warmest day with highs topping out around 74.

Our next cold front will take shape across Texas later today and will trigger some big time storms to our west later this evening. The front and storms should race eastward, but I don't think we will see any rain through sunrise tomorrow morning. Clouds, strong winds (potentially gusting over 35 mph!), and moisture advection will keep the low temperature around 61.


The SPC is forecasting a slight risk of severe weather for our area tomorrow. I have no disagreements at this point, especially with them forecasting the greatest risk to our north. Let me say that model guidance is trending slightly higher with instability for our area, and I will definitely keep a close eye on future model runs to see if this trend continues.