The model guidance and the NHC track have shifted more to the right and are generally between Indianola and Galveston, TX. If you live along the coast from Indianola to Galveston, you need to evacuate tomorrow! I fear that when the sun rises in the morning, many residents along the Gulf Coast will be in a state of panic and shock to see what is coming. I heard an interview with the mayor of Galveston earlier this evening, and I was stunned to hear her nonchalant attitude about this storm. Yes, the entire island can probably be evacuated within 12-16 hours, but this is NOT the storm to ride out if you live along the coast! If you do ride out the storm and you live within 5 miles of the Gulf of Mexico in the areas I mentioned above, be warned that your area will likely be under water!
If you live in Houston, be prepared for Category 2 and possibly Category 3 winds that will be capable of producing extensive damage. If you live on the east or south side of Houston, you need to evacuate to higher ground. There will be at least a 10-15 foot storm surge in Galveston Bay that will be capable of flooding most of the south and east sections of Houston.
Coastal residents, evacuate inland tomorrow -- you won't regret it! I recommend going to Austin or San Antonio. For the latest on evacuations and other related news, go to http://twitter.com/hurricaneike
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