Thursday, April 16, 2009

Some Clouds, Mild

It's another chilly start to the morning as temperatures dropped into the lower 40s overnight. We should rebound nicely this afternoon as an upper level ridge builds across the Mid South. The only complicating factor appears to be the presence of cloud cover associated with an upper level disturbance within the ridge. We should have a mix of sun and clouds today and that will keep temperatures from really warming. Still, I think we should be able to near 70 this afternoon. An area of high pressure located across the Ohio Valley will slide eastward tonight and allow winds to wind to the southeast. A few clouds may still be present also and this will keep temperatures much warmer overnight. The low tomorrow morning will be near 52.

The weekend continues to look wet as a cutoff low gradually moves toward the area. These are notorious rain producers and that's likely what we'll deal with over the weekend. Without boring you with the details of the various model solutions and ensembles, here are my thoughts for the weekend:
-Super Bulldog Weekend activities on Friday should go off without a hitch. There will likely be some clouds with temperatures in the 70s.
-Saturday is the tough forecast, but at this point, I think there may be some rain Saturday afternoon. However, I don't think it will be heavy enough to impact the baseball or football scrimmage. If you are planning on attending these events, you might want to carry a poncho or umbrella. I think the outdoor concert will mostly be dry, but there will be a slight chance for a shower.
-Sunday looks like the wettest day and I would be surprised if the baseball game is played. Over 2" of rain could fall as the main brunt of this system moves through on Sunday.

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