Tuesday, July 14, 2009

Some Clouds, Seasonal Temperatures

Much of the county received some much needed rain yesterday with most amounts between a quarter and a half inch, but some communities in the western part of the county likely received higher amounts based on radar estimates. The weather is much quieter this morning in our area, but showers and thunderstorms are affecting portions of Western Mississippi. This complex of storms should stay to our west, but a few debris clouds have moved across this area this morning and caused temperatures to rise slightly.

The forecast today is quite tricky as it appears that another convective complex across Northwest Arkansas and Southwest Missouri will follow on the heels of the complex across Western Mississippi. If this holds true, we may see another round of clouds later this morning followed by cumulus clouds in the afternoon. Yesterday's thunderstorm complexes put enough of a dent in the upper level ridge that it has moved back to the west, hence why the storm track is off to our west. I think this will remain the case today, which means we should be dry. The dent in the ridge also means temperatures will be warmer than yesterday but still seasonable for this time of the year as we'll top out near 92 this afternoon. Dew points in the lower 70s will also make the temperature feel close to 100 at times later today. The weather will remain quiet overnight as the upper level ridge builds back into the area. A few clouds may arrive just before sunrise as temperatures will drop to near 74. Model guidance remains leaning toward the idea that tomorrow will be the hottest day of the year thus far with highs in the upper 90s. Not to be outdone, much cooler temperatures are on the way by the weekend and early next week as an anomalously deep upper air trough settles over the region.

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