Thursday, October 15, 2009

Rain Through Mid-Afternoon, Turning Colder

Big changes are on the way in the next 24 hours as an upper air trough will begin to deepen across the Midwest. As it does so, it will send a very chilly air mass our way and help kick a pesky frontal boundary out of the region. The frontal boundary is currently located from northern Alabama through northeast Texas. Showers and thunderstorms can be found in advance of the front with the strongest convection occurring over southern Arkansas. The front will be on the march southward throughout the day, and as a result, our rain chances will begin to increase after 9 a.m. A few thunderstorms could be thrown in the mix, but I'm not expecting any severe weather for our area. The front should pass through the county after noon, but a few lingering showers will still be possible this afternoon behind the front. Highs should be able to top out near 74 this afternoon. The frontal effects will really be felt by this evening as the upper trough amplifies and ushers the cold air into the area. It will be windy this evening with gusts up to 20 mph at times. Temperatures will begin to drop quickly after 7 p.m. with temperatures in the lower 50s by midnight and near 48 tomorrow morning. Tomorrow will be the coldest day since last spring as a persistent stratus deck and strong cold air advection will dominate the weather.

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