Warmer, Rain and Storms This Evening & Overnight

All is quiet this morning on the radar, but rain will be arriving again quickly later today. In response to multiple upper level disturbances, a warm front currently draped across the Gulf coast will retreat northward today. As it does so, showers and thunderstorms will erupt to our west later this morning and early afternoon. The good news is that I think we'll stay dry for much of the day. A few breaks in the clouds today should allow temperatures to top out near 75 this afternoon. The forecast for this evening and overnight is very difficult. Computer model guidance insists that two waves of rain will develop across Arkansas and western Tennessee and in Louisiana. However, there is not a consensus agreement as to where the heaviest precipitation will be located. The large majority of models and ensemble guidance suggest that the heaviest rain will form in Arkansas and track eastward across northern Mississippi tonight and early Wednesday morning. Our rain chances will really ramp up after 5 p.m., but the bulk of the rain should exit to our east tomorrow morning after 3 a.m. I think we'll likely dodge the bullseye of heaviest precipitation, but we still stand to see up to an inch of rain through sunrise tomorrow morning. Lows tomorrow morning will be near 66.