Monday, January 18, 2010

Mild Week Ahead

The rains over the weekend have lead to widespread dense fog around the county this morning. Satellite imagery and forecast soundings suggest the fog should begin to mix out by 10 a.m. After the fog dissipates, a beautiful day is in store with abundant sunshine. After a cool day yesterday, temperatures will be over 10 degrees warmer this afternoon with highs topping out around 62. Skies will be clear this evening but will begin to increase late tonight in advance of an upper level disturbance. This upper level disturbance is evident on water vapor imagery and is currently impacting the southern Plains. All available guidance keeps this disturbance well to our north, but a few clouds will move across the area as its southern fringe clips us. Lows tomorrow morning will be near 41.

We'll be in a very progressive pattern this week meaning that we'll see rain every 2-3 days. However, temperatures will be above normal, and it's not out of the question that we could jump into the 70s at some point by the end of next weekend! Thursday or Sunday would be the best bet for that to happen. When it gets warm in January, we usually have to start worrying about severe weather, and that may very well be the case late this weekend as a lot of energy ejects of out the West. It's a little early to talk about specifics, but pattern recognition certainly supports the threat for severe weather. I'll have more on this each day this week.

No comments: