Monday, February 8, 2010

Rain Arrives After Midnight

The million dollar question in today's forecast is whether or not we will see the sun. Low clouds have stubbornly persisted across the area all weekend, and it looks like they may hold tough this morning. What will likely break up the clouds will be a developing storm system in West Texas. This will cause a cold surface high to shift to our east and allow southeasterly winds to commence late this morning. Vertical mixing should gradually break up the low cloud deck after noon. However, additional clouds streaming eastward in advance of the storm system in Texas will not allow much in the way of sunshine today. Based on this scenario, highs should top out around 51. If the low clouds don't break up today, highs will stay in the upper 40s. By this evening, the low pressure across Texas will move to the east northeast and should be located in southwest Alabama around sunrise tomorrow morning. Light rain should spread into the state after midnight and become heavier after 3 a.m., but total rainfall amounts should generally be near a half inch. The rain will stick around through sunrise but should be light in intensity. Lows tomorrow morning will be near 45.

Today will likely be the warmest day of the week as modified arctic air pours into the state. I'll be keeping a close eye on a storm system at the end of the week. The pattern supports a very favorable storm track for accumulating snows in Alabama on Friday. At this time, the best threat for snow may actually be to our south, but there's no question that all the players are on the field.

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